[If you missed the last pop up live on What Your Portfolio Is Not Telling You About Risk, you can catch the replay here.]

For about two years, bridge debt was not really a choice.


The math told you so before you finished underwriting. Long term agency debt could not produce the loan-to-value or the loan-to-cost a sponsor needed to win a deal at 2021 and 2022 prices. The deal did not pencil with agency. The deal did pencil with bridge. So sponsors used bridge.


That sentence sounds neutral. It is not. It describes the moment a financing structure designed for a narrow purpose quietly became the default for an entire category of deals, and the discipline that once surrounded that structure went missing in the process.


What bridge debt was built to do
Bridge debt is short term, floating rate financing originally designed for transitional assets: properties undergoing renovation, repositioning, or lease-up. The structure exists because those assets need flexibility that long term debt cannot offer. Bridge loans typically run two to three years with extension options, carry rates that float over an index, and require the asset to either stabilize and refinance into long term debt or be sold within the loan term.


That is a sensible product for a property in transition. The asset is not yet producing the income it eventually should, so the financing accommodates the gap and gives the sponsor room to execute. Used this way, bridge debt matches a specific risk to a specific structure.


How a transitional tool became the entry point for everything
During the 2021 to 2022 cycle, bridge debt stopped being used for transitional assets specifically and started being used for nearly every value-add deal. The reason was structural, not careless.


Bridge lenders sized loans based on stabilized projections rather than current operating performance, which meant a sponsor could borrow against a future net operating income that did not yet exist. Agency lenders sized loans based on current performance, which produced smaller loans and smaller deals. Bridge let sponsors win the bid. Agency did not.


So bridge became the entry point for almost every value-add transaction. The original purpose of the product was extended to fit a market need, and the market gradually forgot that bridge debt carried risks agency debt did not. When a structure becomes universal, the questions that used to accompany it stop being asked. Everyone is using it, so it begins to feel like the safe choice rather than the aggressive one.

What broke when the assumptions moved
The risks did not disappear. They were deferred to maturity, which is exactly where they arrived.


Floating rates moved against sponsors when the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate across 2022 and 2023. Two and three year terms began coming due into a market where refinance was structurally harder than it had been at origination. Extension options carried higher rates and worse terms than the original loan. Lenders who had competed to write bridge paper during the boom were now declining extensions or demanding meaningful equity injections to extend.


Many sponsors did not have the capital to inject. Many limited partner groups did not have the appetite to fund another capital call. The deals stalled. Some defaulted. The same structure that allowed the deal to pencil at acquisition became the structure that determined whether the deal survived.


The lesson is not that bridge debt is bad. Bridge debt is a real product with a real purpose. The lesson is that when a financing structure becomes universal, the discipline that originally surrounded its use disappears, and a tool designed for a specific risk gets applied to risk it was never built to absorb.

The four questions that sit inside the structure
For the limited partner, the question worth asking on any deal involving bridge debt is not whether bridge debt is present. It almost always is. The question is what the structure does under pressure.


That breaks into four. What is the loan term. What is the rate cap structure, including when it expires and what a replacement would cost at current pricing. What happens at maturity if the refinance market is closed. And how much sponsor and limited partner capital is at risk if the loan needs to be extended or restructured.

Each of these has a real answer in the loan documents. None of them requires you to forecast interest rates or call the top of a market. They ask only what the deal is built to withstand and what it is not. Whether the sponsor can articulate the answers clearly tells you something the projections cannot. A sponsor who has thought through the maturity scenario will answer plainly. A sponsor who has not will reach for the business plan instead of the loan terms, and that reach is itself the signal.

Closing thoughts
The point of underwriting bridge debt is not to avoid it. It is to keep asking the questions that universal adoption tends to silence. A structure becomes dangerous not when it is risky, but when its risk stops being examined because everyone is carrying it. Discipline is not built into the product. It is built into the person reviewing the deal.


When you look at a deal with bridge debt today, the structure will tell you a great deal about how the sponsor thinks about the gap between the plan and what happens when the plan meets a closed refinance market. The four questions are where you find out.

Vessi Kapoulian


Breaking down multifamily underwriting one step at a time to create educated and empowered investors


P.S. The series continues tomorrow. Something I have been working on for investors thinking about durability across multiple cycles is arriving in the next two weeks. RSVP here.